| 课程号 |
02535220 |
学分 |
4 |
| 英文名称 |
Research on Quantitative History |
| 先修课程 |
经济学原理 |
| 中文简介 |
已有的大多数历史研究过于定性，停留在史料整理和描述性层面，即使对历史事实背后的因果关系下结论，也只是猜测性的，很少从统计意义上进行严谨的逻辑推论，做排他性实证论证，这种研究方法的不足是明显的。历史研究中一手史料整理、描述性工作极其重要，但那是整个研究过程中的第一步，不是全部。研究的最终目的还是希望从历史经历中领悟到、学到一般性的道理，学到对现时和未来人类社会都有价值的规律知识。本课程立足于用社会科学的方法分析历史变迁，由此探寻人类社会长期发展的源流和脉络，阐释历史演变的规律，并为今天的经济、社会发展和经济政策提供某些借鉴。 |
| 英文简介 |
Most of the existing historical researches, due to the absence of rigorous logical inference with statistical methods such as solid empirical evidence, only produce speculative conclusions on causal relationships behind historical facts. Thus, even though qualitative research method dominates the field of modern historical research, its weakness in deriving general theory is obvious.
To locate and analyze the primary evidence is only the start of the historical research process, the ultimate goal of every historical research should be to derive illuminating patterns and general truths that enable us to make sense of the present in terms of the past, and the past in terms of the present.
In this course, we will explore various social, cultural, and political processes and their implications for today’s economy and society with scientific method. By analyzing these historical processes, we would be able to better grasp the origins and the repeating patterns of the long-term development of the human society.
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| 开课院系 |
经济学院 |
| 通选课领域 |
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| 是否属于艺术与美育 |
否 |
| 平台课性质 |
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| 平台课类型 |
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| 授课语言 |
中英双语 |
| 教材 |
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| 参考书 |
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| 教学大纲 |
已有的大多数历史研究过于定性，停留在史料整理和描述性层面，即使对历史事实背后的因果关系下结论，也只是猜测性的，很少从统计意义上进行严谨的逻辑推论，做排他性实证论证，这种研究方法的不足是明显的。历史研究中一手史料整理、描述性工作极其重要，但那是整个研究过程中的第一步，不是全部。研究的最终目的还是希望从历史经历中领悟到、学到一般性的道理，学到对现时和未来人类社会都有价值的规律知识。本课程立足于用社会科学的方法分析历史变迁，由此探寻人类社会长期发展的源流和脉络，阐释历史演变的规律，并为今天的经济、社会发展和经济政策提供某些借鉴。
2016 Summer School for Quantitative History
July 6: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-9:10 Opening Remarks Zhiwu Chen（陈志武, Yale & Peking University）
9:10-10:40 Lecture Qiang Chen （陈强，Shandong University）: Lecture (1/2)
10:40-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture Qiang Chen（陈强）: Lecture (2/2)
14:00-15:30 Lecture Nan Li（李楠，Shanghai University of Finance & Economics）: Lecture (1/2)
15:30-15:55 Coffee Break
15:55-17:25 Lecture Nan Li（李楠）: Lecture (2/2)
July 7: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Xiuqi Fang（方修琦，Beijing Normal University）:Lecture (1/1)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture Hanhui Guan（管汉晖，Peking University）: Lecture (1/1)
14:00-15:30 Lecture Kevin O’Rourke (Oxford): Lecture (1/4)
15:30-15:55 Coffee Break
15:55-17:25 Lecture Kevin O’Rourke : Lecture (2/4)
July 8: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Shuji Cao（曹树基, Shanghai Jiao Tong University）: Lecture (1/2)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture Shuji Cao（曹树基）: Lecture (2/2)
14:00-15:30 Lecture Kevin O’Rourke: Lecture (3/4)
15:30-15:55 Coffee/Tea Break
15:55-17:25 Lecture Kevin O’Rourke: Lecture (4/4)
July 9: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Kaixiang Peng（彭凯翔，Henan University）: Lecture (1/1)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Discussions Office hours /Discussions
14:00-15:30
14:00-15:00 Lecture James Kung（龚启圣, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology）: Lecture (1/3)
15:00-15:25 Coffee/Tea Break
15:25-17:25 Lecture James Kung（龚启圣）: Lecture (2/3)
July 10: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Eric Chaney (Harvard)：Lecture (1/3)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture Eric Chaney：Lecture (2/3)
14:00-15:30 Lecture Peter Bol (Harvard)：Lecture (1/3)
15:30-15:55 Coffee/Tea Break
15:55-17:25 Office Hour Peter Bol：Lecture (2/3)
July 11: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Eric Chaney：Lecture (3/3)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture James Kung（龚启圣）: Lecture (3/3)
14:00-15:30 Lecture Peter Bol：Lecture (3/3)
15:30-15:55 Coffee/Tea Break
15:55-17:25 Lecture Kris Mitchener（Santa Clara Univ）：Lecture (1/3)
19:00-21:00 Lecture
Peter Bol & staff: training workshop for CBDB and historical CHGIS
July 12-13: Symposium
July 12
8:00-8:30 Registration @Room 307, School of Economics, Peking University
8:30-11:50 Keynote Speeches
14:00-17:50 Young Scholar Presentations
July 13
8:30-11:30 Keynote Speeches
14:00-17:50 Young Scholar Presentations
July 14: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Kris Mitchener：Lecture (2/3)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture Kris Mitchener：Lecture (3/3)
14:00-15:30 Lecture Haijian Mao（茅海建，Univ of Macau）：Lecture (1/2)
15:30-15:55 Coffee/Tea Break
15:55-17:25 Lecture Haijian Mao（茅海建）：Lecture (2/2)
July 15: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Debin Ma（马德斌，London School of Economics）: Lecture (1/3)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture Denggao Long （龙登高，Tsinghua)：Lecture (1/1)
14:00-15:30 Office Hour
15:30-15:55 Coffee/Tea Break
15:55-17:25 Office Hour
July 16: Lectures/Seminars
9:00-10:30 Lecture Debin Ma（马德斌）: Lecture (2/3)
10:30-10:55 Coffee/Tea Break
10:55-12:25 Lecture Debin Ma（马德斌）: Lecture (3/3)
14:00-15:30 Lecture Zhiwu Chen（陈志武, Yale & Peking）: Lecture (1/2)
15:30-15:55 Coffee/Tea Break
15:55-17:25 Lecture Zhiwu Chen（陈志武）: Lecture (2/2)
课堂讲授70%，讨论20%，文献阅读10%
平时出勤，课堂讨论，综合表现
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